Wednesday, October 16, 2024

One Picture, 1,000 Words: The Latest Campaign Mailers (Take I)

 


It's no surprise that lately, I've been hearing people saying, "I'm so f#cking sick and tired of living through historic events." No surprises there, as we either sleepwalk towards disaster, or prepare to snatch America back from the kudzu weed grip of MAGA Inc., depending on which forecast you're reading at the moment.

Which is why, in that same spirit, we're posting whatever distinctive campaign mailers land on our doormat -- precisely because of their soon-to-be historical nature. I mean, let's face it -- campaign literature is some of the planet's most disposable reading material, something meant to be skimmed quickly on the bus ride home, or the toilet, then forgotten. 

But that doesn't mean it lacks interest, especially when you consider what the particular piece of literature is trying to accomplish, which is why we led with the above image. The artist obviously went to great lengths to make Trump look as cartoonish, yet menacingly over the top, as he does here. 

It's the same tactic as you'll see on Saturday Night Live's "Weekend Update" segment -- pick the most unflattering photo you can find of the subject whose piss you're taking, and run with it. What follows below is a fair sampling of the snapshots that darken our doorstep, as it were, with relevant commentary, wherever it applies. Let the games begin, as they say. --The Reckoner

============================================================================================================================


Flyer for the Michigan Supreme Court race, pitting the Democratic Party's nominees (above) against Republicans Andrew Fink -- who joined a local "Stop The Steal" protest on that infamous day, January 6th (2021), among other career lowlights -- and Branch County Circuit Judge Patrick O'Grady, who vows to follow a hardline textualist, originalist slant toward the law, in keeping with someone who views Clarence Thomas as an "incredible man."

For a quick rundown of his lowlights, click here, since we won't have a link section this time around:
https://gandernewsroom.com/2024/10/02/5-things-to-know-about-conservative-michigan-supreme-court-candidate-patrick-ogrady/

We've all seen this movie before, though, right? As John Roberts studiously reminded his Senate questioners, on getting his promotion to the US Supreme Court -- just the facts, ma'am. Just an umpire who calls balls and strikes, if I recall his wording correctly.

We know what that means in practice: the umpire who only calls balls and strikes for what the Republican Party's wingnut faction wants crammed down our throats. And we all know how that movie ends, as well.

===========================================================================================================================

<State Rep. Joey Andrews (D-St. Joseph),
taking his Republican opponent to task...>

===========================================================================================================================




<Democratic Presidential Nominee Kamala Harris
takes aim at Trump's links 
to one of the far right's most notorious passion projects...>






===========================================================================================================================



<More greatest hits from Project 2025, which may well become the gift that just keeps on giving -- and giving -- and giving...>


<Yes, a gift that keeps on giving...and giving...>


<...And giving! Peace out:
We'll see what else the mailman drops.>

Tuesday, October 1, 2024

By Popular Demand: Vice Presidential Debate Bingo!

 



Well, now, doesn't look like a barrel of fun? With less than three hours to go before the sole vice presidential debate of this campaign, your friends at the AFL-CIO have released a "bingo card" -- the better, presumably, to keep track of the latest verbal outrages that Trump's poodle of a running mate, J.D. Vance, will unleash on the nation.

Childless cat ladies, beware! Men in skirts, take cover, and put your hands over your ears! Stockholm-destined sex changers, screen all your calls! Fellow atheists, Druids, Wiccans, and alternative believers of all stripes, run for cover, before J.D., the man's man, smashes a styrofoam display of the Ten Commandments over your ungodly heathen head! 

Watch out, godless commie lovers! He's taking names, but he's not taking any prisoners...so let's hear it, for the man who wears poverty, like others put on makeup! Put your hands together...for -- Mr. -- J --  D -- Vance!

Oh, yeah, right. We're talking about the same J.D. Vance who posed, not so long ago, with an AR-15 rifle -- in front of a stack of firewood that obviously looks like it's been planed and machined by non-human hands. It's as genuine as those so-called Amish craftsmen ads I'd see late at night, with actors whose fake bears seem...well, glued on.

And yet, he wants you to believe that he's not weird. Yeah, right. Anyway, you can read the basic PR rationale from the union below, and while you're at it, don't forget to download your own card here -- who knows, it looks like a readily convertible piece of art, for other occasions, and it might make a great conversation topic opener some day:

"We’re looking forward to the country getting to know our union brother, Gov. Tim Walz. Walz is the governor of Minnesota, as well as a former public school teacher, football coach and union member.

"Walz has a track record of standing up for working people, our families and our unions, and he’s helped working families in Minnesota and all over this country. He knows the power of a union and the strength of working people standing together to fight for what’s right.

"We also hope you’ll learn more about Donald Trump’s running mate, JD Vance, a corporate lawyer turned Silicon Valley venture capitalist who has spent his two years in public service catering to corporate interests.

"While he pretends to respect workers and our unions, Sen. Vance is the lead co-sponsor of the Teamwork for Employees and Managers (TEAM) Act, Sen. Marco Rubio’s anti-worker bill that would allow employers to create sham unions that would undermine worker power. And Vance opposed the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act, the labor movement’s landmark bill to protect workers’ right to join a union."


As far as the PRO Act goes, I have some doubts about it, from the self-employed/IC (independent contractor) standpoint, but I'm on board with the rest of this statement. It would certainly feel odd --given Trump's refusal to entertain a second debate with Harris, an understandable reflex, given the verbal drubbing that she gave him -- ends up being the last word in that arena.

But then, as we all know, nothing about this campaign season has looked, nor felt, remotely normal. In any event, don't forget to tune in at 9 p.m. EDT (Eastern Daylight Time), and bring the popcorn. Oh, and a cat, if you happen to have a feline keeping you company. --The Reckoner



Saturday, September 28, 2024

Bitchy Bitch Vs. Donald Trump (Two New Roberta Gregory Cartoons)

 


<By Roberta Gregory>

"Seriously, I am trying to avoid political stuff lately, and post more uplifting content, but there is too much cra-zeeee…. I drew this on Tuesday for the DUNE event, in Seattle, and was happy to just post on their feed, but I gotta share. This is all getting so surreal…. And scary."

<By Roberta Gregory>

"And here’s a scribble I followed up with.
Drawn at my La Conner Art Circle group."

Roberta Gregory's artwork, especially her groundbreaking Naughty Bits comics -- which ran from 1991 to 2004, over 40 issues -- have long been a favorite around here. The Fantagraphics series starred "Bitchy Bitch" Midge McCracken, a fortyish, unmarried working woman "whose behavior is seldom sweet or generous, and one gets a strong impression menopause won't even put a dent in her permanent state of PMS," claims the now-defunct toonpedia.com site:

"
When she gets angry, which is often, she undergoes what looks like a physical transformation. Her snarling lips and gritting teeth sprawl beyond the boundaries of her face, and the curves of her body — what few there are — become hard and sharp. 

"From this lump of rather one-note clay, Gregory has fashioned a three-dimensional character, sympathetic enough to have held the attention of readers for more than a decade."

One-note clay? Ehh, speak for yourself, mate, and let those perky Dave Matthews tunes wash over your frontal lobes, 'cos watercooler poets and barroom philosophers are a dime a dozen! (As the author confirms, incidentally, in his closing sentence: "
Apparently, her simple message — that there are things in this world that are worth getting really, really steamed about — strikes a responsive chord wherever humans are human."

All I can say is, when
the Squawker introduced me to Bitchy's world, I was hooked, and I never looked back! It's the same feeling I experienced when I first heard The Clash, stumbled across Roque Dalton's poetry, or saw The Battle of Chile. That sort of manic thrill doesn't wash over you often, but once it does, you know it. And you never forget.

So it went with Bitchy, and Gregory's later work, such as her Artistic Licentiousness series. However, sightings of Bitchy haven't been as common in recent years, so when Chairman Ralph, our ever-alert man on the ground, tipped us off about these Gregory 'toons on Facebook, we had to see if we could share them here! So Ralph asked, got the OK, and here they are, with comments from the artist.

As you can see, there's a tense dynamic going on here, between Bitchy, and a certain rogue orange ex-President. We'll say no more, get out of the way, and let you enjoy the proceedings. Does this signal a Bitchy revival? Time will tell, but I leave you with one last thought, from one of my favorite blogs (see link below):

"Art, after all, often requires and encourages critical thinking, introspection and empathy-- traits anathema to authoritarian regimes, which thrive on conformity, suppression of dissent and rigid control over thought. Artists, musicians, and writers frequently challenge dominant narratives and question the status quo, fostering environments where free thought is valued over dogma. Music, literature and art have long served as outlets for political dissent." The cartoons appear here, by courtesy of the artist. For more information, see below. Thanks, Roberta!--The Reckoner Links To Go

The Faces Of Hunger (Take Eight): Return To The Blessings Box (UPDATED: 10/1/24)

 

<"Mismatched Expectations"/The Reckoner>

<i.>
This week's been a tough one. Thanks to two hefty utility bills that we just had to pay -- $115 for the phone here (Ka-ching!), $225 for the electric there (Ka-ching!), the Squawker and I wound up with barely $65 in our so-called bank account. Subtract $15 for gas (Ka-ching!), and $20 for miscellaneous food items (Ka-ching, ka-ching!), and you're looking at a pretty lean weekend,, till your next pittance arrives on Monday.

Wait, I take that back. I'll need most, if not nearly all of that, for the insurance (Ka-ching!), which now hovers around $145 a month. It's funny, I can remember the days when $95 per month seemed like a lot, about five or so years ago. Guess those were the good old days, even if we didn't realize it at the time.

But this is the marked deck that's been handed to us. Well, not all of us -- one major irritation lately is watching all the over-endowed gatecrashing the dollar stores that Squawker and I often must visit, out of necessity. I can't tell you how often I'm stuck in line behind them, as they painstakingly empty the carts they've stacked to the rafters, peeling off children's clothes, kitschy decorative trinkets (like wind chimes), cleaning supplies, and God knows what else, as they drop $200, $300, even $600 at a time, I kid you not.

Every time I watch this ritual, the same thought runs through my mind: "Just where the f#ck are all these people getting so much money?" Because, clearly, anyone who can drop 200 or 300 bucks at a time on their bargain shopping runs isn't bothered about their electric or phone bill, I'll tell you that much.

So, amid all that pressure, a return to the Blessings Box seemed in order today. For those who aren't regular readers, I'm referring to a box that the local Methodist church has set up, where anyone can donate unwanted or surplus items, which all comers can take, no questions asked. (For further reference, see Take Seven in this series.) 

Last week had been pretty barren, but we were nearing the end of our mindless domestic errands, so it seemed logical to drop by. Guess what? Our gut feelings paid off with a paper towel roll, plus six mini-boxes of Kellogg's cornflakes; a can of soup (bean of bacon, always welcome); a 28-ounce can of tomato paste; and some hand wipes. Not bad, all things considered.

I mean, whatever you don't have to shell out from your own pocket is welcome, right? Reminds me of the Richard Pryor line from Car Wash, when his Daddy Rich character declaims, about ready cash:

"It is better to have it, 
and not need it -- 
than to need it, 
and not have it!"


<"What's In A Word?
More Than You Realize.."
Take I/The Reckoner>

<ii.>
Amen, brother, and all that, right? Something like that. Still, today's experience wouldn't have been necessary, it seems to me, if we actually had wages that didn't evaporate as soon as you received them Remember, inflation has actually decreased, from its peak of 9.1% (June 2022), to its current level of 2.5%. OK, so why aren't prices dropping, as well?

Check out the links below, and decide which one suits you best. I personally find TIME's explanation -- basically, it's the standard blather, "logistic disruptions, blah-blah-blah, supply chain problems, blah-blah-blah, Ukraine, blah-blah-blah" -- totally unconvincing. But I'm including their story out of journalistic duty (fairness and balance, and all that), whereas, the Reich links (especially his video) make way more sense.

Why? Because, as Reich notes, corporate power is the elephant in the room, one that both major parties -- by and large, except for progressive voices like AOC, Bernie Sanders, or Ron Wyden -- studiously avoid touching, at any cost. And until we the people force them to do it, things won't get any better, at least in the short run.

One interesting sub-theme in Reich's video (see below) is the use of algorithms to screw us over -- whether it's Agri-Stat, in the case of beef prices, or RealPage, with rents -- so companies can further consolidate their power through predatory pricing, stock buybacks (AKA slush funds for wealthy shareholders), and collusion among themselves, to continue squeezing the consumer.

And this, I'm guessing, is the real reason why we're not seeing any major movement on prices. OK, the fudge Graham crackers I get periodically from Dollar General have gone down a whopping 25 cents, from $2.50 to $2.25 per pack. And sure, gas has dropped from a high of $3.59 to $3.19 per gallon locally, though who knows how long that'll last, since bad actors like bin Salman and Putin can use oil as a lever to restore their preferred patsy (Trump) on his throne? 

So long as this unhealthy and unholy status quo prevails, it's safe to say that Squawker and I won't always be able to dodge a visit to the Blessing Box. Or your friendly neighborhood food pantry. And I doubt that any of us will be able start building the boat of a lifetime, any time soon. --The Reckoner

PS
I should have mentioned this earlier, but I forgot -- there's a sign posted inside both sides of the box, which reads, "PLEASE DO NOT DROP OFF ANY DRY BEANS, AS NO ONE IS TAKING THEM. I HAVE TAKEN THE GIFT YOU'VE GIVEN ME, AND DONATED IT ELSEWHERE. THANK YOU!"

What's scarier? That somebody out there still thinks that poor people can't wait to eat dry beans, which end up like pebbles, if you don't know the magic trick to cook them properly? Or that folks have endless cans of them to give away? Either they haven't figured out the magic trick, or don't want to eat something like that, either. You decide.


Links To Go (AKA: It's Flag Day In Thailand
...We Have To Raise Prices...Yet Again...Today):
Robert Reich: Here's Why Food Prices Are Rising Even More:
https://robertreich.org/post/692311230329880576

Robert Reich (Video): Here's Why Prices Are Still High:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L6bjQNOZ0E

TIME: Yes, Inflation Is Going Down.
But Here's Why Prices Aren't:

https://time.com/7005553/inflation-grocery-prices-rates/


<"What's In A Word?
More Than You Realize.."
Take II/The Reckoner>

Monday, September 23, 2024

Overpriced America Strikes Again: Straddling The Stability Lottery


<Alas, Still Timely: Office Space Movie Poster>


Winners and losers, which one am I?
Is it the same, under the sky?
Black motorcycles, and the will to survive:
Losers and winners, low and high...
<Iggy Pop, "Winners & Losers">

<i.>
You've probably noticed, if you visit here regularly, how much lower key the activity's gotten this year. Rest assured, it's not for lack of ideas. Actually, I completed the graphic that eventually accompanied "Life's Little Injustices (Take XXIV): Not My Bumper Sticker, Not My Neighbor," so that's a small win.

Let's see, what else? I've got a cartoon or two in progress, sitting on my desk. I've done the drawing, but one more significant bit of heavy lifting awaits, and that's the inking. Then I've got to scan them, or take a photo, before I can stick them up.

All creative folk suffer this dilemma. You always have a million ideas, rattling around your head, colliding like so many billiard bills, but never enough time nor resources to pull them off, boom-boom-boom, as neatly and efficiently as you'd like.

Sometimes, you're simply at the mercy of events, which is how I wound up rewriting two posts 
("What's Project 2025?": The Horseracing Of The 2024 Election," "Weimar Analogy #101: Will Democrats Finally Ditch Austerity Economics?") two or three times, having based them on the assumption that President Joe Biden would somehow claw back into contention. Didn't happen, of course, which meant that my fingers had to do the walkin' all over again.

That's why, as I've explained here from time to time, we don't chase every twist of the news cycle, since the headline of the day often becomes the headline of the hour, or the minute. 
Who expected Trump's second assassination attempt, as crazy as it sounds? Considering how many voices will rush to fill that space, we'll leave that job to somebody else.

The bigger reason boils down to the bear trap that our society sets for so many millions. I call it The Stability Lottery, in which a handful of winners sail unchecked through life, with the rest left to fend for themselves as best as they can, amid ever-diminishing returns.

This is hardly a new concept, though not one you're hearing much about on our so-called national political scene. But here's the rub, as far as I'm concerned: before we start making some grand plans about how to extricate ourselves from the mess we're in, we need to revisit how we got here. 


<Words of Bourdain-style punk rock wisdom:
I'm sure Johnny would have approved
(well, except for the last part, maybe --
since his well-documented vices didn't come cheap!>

<ii.>
For me, no discussion of The Stability Lottery feels complete without mentioning Office Space (1997), which I recently had the pleasure of viewing late at night, for the umpteenth time. That's when it hit me: "Maybe they'll show this film in history classes, so people can see how ancient civilizations lived."

Think about it. Judging by how the plot unfolds, Peter (Ron Livingston), the film's disgruntled cubicle commando, never played The Stability Lottery. Yes, he had a job and a boss that he hated -- but only one job, and one boss, Bill Lumbergh (played to oily perfection by Gary Cole).

And a boss, I might add, with a graph paper brain, judging by his limp response to one of the movie's pivotal scenes -- when Peter simply ignores his demand to come in, on a Saturday, to catch up on those damned TPS reports. How long would any of us last, if we pulled the same stunt, aside from your friendly neighborhood pot shop, if we pulled the same stunt?

Peter also seems to have no problem rustling up enough money to take out Joanna (Jennifer Aniston), the woman he's so avidly pursuing. They see each other regularly --and become an item, eventually -- so I'm guessing that Joanna never draws any late shifts. When he's not satisfying his sex drive, Peter spends most of his remaining downtime with his work buddies, who never seem to work late themselves.

I don't know about you, but we might well ask: is Peter so badly off? Yes, his cubicle job seems boring and mundane, but it's a far cry from the repetitive, soul crushing work that I've seen a lot of folks stuck doing. Apparently, Peter's bills don't change a lot, because he always seems able to pay them.

In other words, Peter and company aren't experiencing the reality that's ground so many down these last couple years. My phone has jumped from $75, to $90, 100, and lately, $115. The electric, last time I checked, hovers around $150-180. Cable has skyrocketed too, from $170, to $190, $200, $210, and of last week, $258

Let me repeat that for everyone: two-hundred-and-fifty-fucking-eight, just to watch what little TV you can stomach, because you can't afford to go many places, anyway. I'm sure that nugget won't leave my mind, the next time that I watch Office Space.


<The album that gave us "Winners & Losers," 1986 (Wikipedia)>

<iii.>
In many respects, the propertied classes cast the die long ago, in the '80s, and various bad actors rushed to fill the gap. Look what happened, once unions went on the vane: temp agencies mushroomed overnight. Union leaders crowbarred themselves into signing so-called two-tiered contracts, with the veterans on the totem pole getting to keep all their hard-won goodies, which their younger counterparts would never see. Cue up the coda of "God Save The Queen" ("Nooo future, nooo future, nooo fuuu-ture for you!").

Colleges and universities rapidly followed suit, as tenure became an elusive dream for newly-minted professors -- as Bob Marley says, in "War," "a fleeting illusion, to be pursued, but never attained." Incoming generations would become adjuncts, with no benefits, and no security, joining armies of other part-timers abandoned to the same fate. 

As much as they want you to think so, colleges and universities are not "the good guys." Good guys don't sit on massive multibillion-dollar endowments, whose money will never flow to all those adjuncts and part-timers struggling to stay afloat. Good guys don't fight attempts to organize, like some 19th century robber baron. Good guys don't scream for the cops to crack skulls, as so many panicked administrators did, when students began asking, "Isn't this endless slaughter in Gaza getting just a wee bit over the top?" 

The fallout over Gaza has produced some interesting media casualties, like Jerry Seinfeld, who reared up in righteous indignation, once we learned what his other half's doing on her downtime -- paying pro-Israel counter-protesters to crack student heads (by Venmo, no less). The Seinfelds haven't waxed so ecstatic, after getting their overendowed chops busted so righteously. For hypocritical overdogs like them, life remains a perpetual cafeteria, where they can always have it their way, and one of everything is no problem to afford. Does that sound like you, or anybody in your immediate circle? I didn't think so.

They want our undivided money and attention, but the minute we question what they're doing, look out! Doesn't sound so hot over all those burbling bass lines taking you into the commercial break, does it? "OK, so my wife's a vicious, right-wing Zionist. Who'd you think I was?" Gah-ding-ding-ding-a-ding-a-ding-ding! And so on, and so forth.

Oh, and you'll never guess where I learned about the Seinfelds' extracirrcular activities: a story on Yahoo New Zealand. That's right -- not Yahoo US, UK, or even Canada, but Yahoo-frickin'-New-Zealand. Throw that one back at somebody who tells you, "What media censorship?" You get the picture.


<https://www.downwithtyranny.com/>

<iv.>
The Stability Lottery began churning at helicopter blade speed, as the 1990s and 2000s progressed. Big companies grew bigger, as the rich kept on getting richer, and living wage jobs went out the window, while the political class continued to extol the virtues of Make Believe Money (AKA the stock market), as a means to some higher end -- that is, their end. Only, it sounded better when they made it seem like a means to your end.

Few people seemed to pay attention, though. If you made decent money -- or even if you didn't -- you learned to "put it on play money," as one of my late friends described his ever-arcing credit card balances.  Why not, with gas still two bucks a gallon, and average rents not hovering anywhere near the four-figure mark? If you harbored some fantasy of joining the creative class -- actor or DJ, filmmaker or rock star, or whatever -- you'd find some make work job at the uber-cool coffee shop, or record store, and wait for your ship to come in.

How many movies milked that particular trope till the cows came home, right? Art School Confidential, Clerks, Empire Records, Ghost World, Mallrats, Reality Bites, Singles, Slacker, and that's just for starters. I saw them all, and loved them all, too, though part of me also thinks: Boy, Hollywood sure had fun selling our self-images back to us. No wonder they -- and we -- got so jaded.

Amid all these cultural fun 'n' games, though, another landmine was about to detonate. It took a new bestseller to blow the whistle: The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Mothers and Fathers Are Going Broke (2004) documented growing anxiety over a new problem -- how one job no longer seemed enough to pay the bills. And even if that job paid well, getting ahead was out of the question, thanks to rocketing food, medical, and rent costs. Lack of job security and income keeping pace with inflation meant that even "good jobs" were no longer enough to keep the wolf from the door. Sound familiar?

Co-written by Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), and her daughter, Amy Warren Tyagi, The Two-Income Trap eloquently summarized what so many millions already knew: thanks to the overclass finding ever more efficient ways to Hoover up what little money we still, somehow, stick in our pockets, two incomes would no longer  get the job done, either. 

I'm trying to imagine, as I write, how Everymom and Everydad reacted, if they bought Warren's and Tyagi's book, to determine just what went so wrong. How many couples bought into those classic social tropes -- Hey, if I only get into grad school, that doctorate will make me more attractive. Sure, I'm working two or three jobs right now, but that's only temporary: I'll quit once I graduate. How much longer will the job market stagnate? I'll find something that makes my debt worthwhile. Then I find myself wondering, how many made it through the book, and felt profoundly betrayed? The answers, I'm sure, are anything but comforting.

No Santa Claus, no happy elves
In this smoking gun existence...
It gets harder to unwind,
I'll just eat my breakfast...
<"Winners And Losers">

<v.>
Still, for the fortunate few who did win the Stability Lottery, life continues, uninterrupted. Same as it ever was, and all that. Call it catching a perennial lucky break -- a generational one, most likely -- they never had to face signing up for those two-tiered contracts, never worked as an adjunct, never needed to scramble for some lo-fi temp gig, nor dead end McJob.

Who are they, exactly? I get a daily reminder, every time I have to steer around those tanklike, battleship-sized trucks, and their endless tailgates that they bought themselves, once they return from the umpteenth vacation they've enjoyed with all the Make Believe Money they socked away. Ever seen a Baby Boomer driving a Honda Civic, or a Yugo, or some off-brand sub-compact? Doesn't f#cking happen, right?

But they can get away with it, because most of them came up during the '60s and '70s, when a strong social consensus still existed, as the Stranglers so memorably stated: "I was always taught in school, everybody should get the same" ("Always The Sun"). Look what happened, once that ideal went by the wayside: this person keeps their benefits, that one doesn't. This person earns a living wage, that one doesn't. This person made enough to save for a comfortable retirement, that one didn't. And so on, and so forth. Wash, rinse, repeat.

Just imagine how you'd remake Office Space in today's environment. Peter and his Initech buddies would be independent contractors, if they were lucky. They'd live half a dozen, crammed elbow to eblow, like so many angry rats into some shoebox-sized apartment, for which they'd shell out $3,000-plus per month in the big city. 

And instead of working at some high profile chain, Joanna would end up a terminally pissed off barista, juggling those hours with some other part-time McJob. The childless cat lady would become a future bag lady, thanks to creeps like J.D. Vance, who -- like most of his fellow, well-heeled and well-oiled, fascist Republican bros -- seems to think that life "begins and ends at conception," as the Massachusetts Congressman, Barney Frank, so memorably stated.

But, hey, better keep your mouth shut, and stay a good little worker bee, right? Because you never know when Lumbergh's creeping around the corner, and God knows, if you don't wrap up those damned TPS reports yesterday, he'll put your ass out on the sidewalk -- alongside Peter, Samir, Michael, Milt, and all your fellow unfortunates. Only this time, the concrete will serve as your bed, with the sky as your roof.

Where this is all taking us, God only knows, but it's way past time for some stronger pushback, isn't it? Just imagine not having paddle in place all day anymore, as you try to outrun all those ever-mushroom bills. Imagine a world that doesn't begin and end with a collection notice, and a past due statement. Think about how you'd feel, with enough time to hear yourself think. What's the point of playing such a one-sided game, when the same one-armed bandits are still running it? 

It's a familiar feeling to any compulsive gambler, feeding token after token, coin after coin, into the unblinking mouth of the nearest slot machine, as you sink, slowly but surely, to your knees. Your mouth goes agape, and your eyes turn bloodshot, as you somehow manage to convince yourself, "Things will get better, eventually, some way, somehow," even as your arm grows stiffer from the toll that the game keeps taking on you.

You get a little bit older, a little grayer. You start to feel a little more resigned, a little less energetic, as that thousand yard stare creeps across your face, and the smile you managed to flash, every once in awhile, gives way to that thousand yard stare. And you just keep losing. You grit your teeth for another go-round. And you just keep losing. Suddenly, it finally crosses your mind, that slacker or not, the joke really was on you, all along. And you just keep losing. Your pockets stay empty, but the cavalry is never coming. And you just keep losing. --The Reckoner


Links To Go: Hey, Kids, Look...

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Weimar Analogy #101: Will Democrats Finally Ditch Austerity Economics?

 

<"Alas, Mein Herr, that overdue library book 
will cost you five more marks a day now...":
Heinrich BrĂ¼ning, circa 1930,
stares down his detractors: Wikipedia.com>

<i>
Heinrich BrĂ¼ning (1885-1970): unless you're a student of German history, his name probably won't ring a bell. Yet it's worth revisiting the less than stellar career of  Germany's notorious "Hunger Chancellor," especially after the stunning flipflop of the Democrats' electoral hopes -- and see if there's a correlation to their previous face plants, that's worth exploring.

Who was Heinrich BrĂ¼ning, and what makes his story relevant today? Well, with so many historians sifting through the tea leaves of Weimar-era analogies amid fears of a potential Trump restoration, BrĂ¼ning's misfortunes serve as a powerful reminder of the perils of austerity economics, and how they often grease the skids for autocrats.

BrĂ¼ning emerged on the German national stage in March 1930, when President Paul von Hindenberg appointed him Chancellor, following the collapse of the so-called "Grand Coalition," led by his predecessor, Hermann MĂ¼ller. Nevertheless, the MĂ¼ller government did manage to implement some fairly impressive baseline progressive reforms, before its own political fortunes came crashing down.

Those reforms included the introduction of nationwide, state-controlled unemployment insurance (1928), the addition of 22 occupationally induced diseases to accident insurance coverage (1929), and the creation of a special pension for jobless people at age 60 (1929). Note the year of the last two examples -- 1929, when the US stock market crash triggered the worldwide agonies of the Great Depression.


But once the Depression took hold, most of these reforms essentially came undone by the summer of 1930, as BrĂ¼ning's government -- hobbled by the increasing headwinds that it faced -- uncorked a series of harsh economic policies, characterized by steep wage and salary cuts, and a significant tightening of credit. However, BrĂ¼ning lacked the votes to pass them in Germany's main legislative body, the Reichstag. It had become an increasingly dysfunctional body, whose largest parties -- Communists and Nazis -- traded insults, punches, and threats on a daily basis. So BrĂ¼ning relied on emergency decrees to impose his legislative will, a move that would soon become his go-to response to the adverse situations that he continually faced. 

Predictably, the unemployed suffered the harshest blows, as the BrĂ¼ning government sharply curtailed eligibility criteria, jacked up taxable contributions, and shrank the length of time for claiming benefits. By December of 1931, unemployment would max out at 20 weeks, thanks to the last of BrĂ¼ning's five emergency decrees, a move that left many of the jobless scrambling for basic survival.

The results were as inevitable as they were predictable. By June 1932, an additional 3.31 million Germans, or roughly 9% of the work force, joined the jobless ranks (see Econstor link below). Gross Domestic Product also shrank by 4.5%. By then, these problems were longer 
BrĂ¼ning's concern. He stepped down in May 1932, after von Hindenburg -- offended by a series of land reform proposals that would have impacted his own large estates, and those of his aristocrat buddies -- brusquely demanded his resignation.

Harsh as his policies were, BrĂ¼ning argued that he needed them to deal with the burdens of reparations payments imposed after World War I, and keep the economy on some sort of operational footing. Although Germany's obligations had been reduced under the Young Plan, brokered in 1929, they continued to remain a major drag on the economy, one that also chilled foreign investment. 

For millions of voters, however, it was business as usual. With no obvious end to their hardships in sight, a starving nation ignored 
BrĂ¼ning's stern admonitions to just continue eating their spinach. Like any good normie politician, BrĂ¼ning proved incapable of meeting the moment, and unable to grasp why popular resentment now ran so visibly and strongly against him -- to the point of stones being hurled against his personal train and motorcade, as he campaigned for von Hindenburg during the March 1932 national elections.

The results ended in a runoff, with von Hindenburg narrowly denying Hitler the chancellorship, and the enormous power it represented. In spite of this setback, however, the Nazis emerged as the Reichstag's largest party, which made their presence in the government seem inevitable, if not its eventual masters. 
If you've seen the movie, you know how it ended, as von Hindenburg -- aided and abetted by operators like the notorious Franz von Papen, and BrĂ¼ning's replacement, Kurt von Schleicher -- opened talks to bring Hitler into the government.

Even after the Nazis finally slithered into power in January 1933, after Hitler's appointment as Chancellor, BrĂ¼ning could not shake his addiction to "lesser evil" logic. Why else, it's fair to ask, did he join the Centre Party that he continued to lead in supporting the aptly-titled Enabling Act, that finally gave Hitler the dictatorial powers that he'd craved so openly, and for so long? 

Like many of his peers, BrĂ¼ning couldn't grasp the existential threat that such a measure represented, even at this particular eleventh hour. The rigors of party discipline required it; indeed, his political self-identity as "the adult in the room" demanded it.

BrĂ¼ning's reward for impoverishing his fellow Germans was to end up being marked for death, once Hitler unleashed the Night of the Long Knives against his political enemies in June 1934. Seeing the danger, BrĂ¼ning finally fled Germany, and fled to America. He returned to his academic roots at Harvard, where he taught from 1937 to 1952.

One anecdote sums up BrĂ¼ning's legacy better than any other. In 1945, as Germany tasted the ashes of total defeat, a claque of BrĂ¼ning supporters approached Allied officers, with a proposition: would they consider bringing back the former Chancellor? Who better, they argued, than the "adult in the room," who'd done his best, however ineffectual it had been deemed, to stem the Nazi tide?

Back came the reply, terse and dismissive, as soon as the suggestion had been made: "We were afraid you would mention him." And there, we will leave it.


<Doing his political duty: 
BrĂ¼ning campaigns for von Hindenburg,
1932, at the Berlin Sportpalast: 
Bundesrachiv, Bild 192-13229>

<ii.>
Now that President Biden has finally admitted that he's finishing his term on December 31, it becomes easier to see why his re-election prospects looked so dim -- even against an opponent like Trump, with all his Grand Canyon-sized baggage, Still, if the race was neck and neck, the commentariat fretted, how could polls consistently show an outsized advantage for Trump over Biden, on whom voters trusted better to handle the economy?

The answer is simpler than they may want to admit. From the get-go, Team Biden banked heavily on conventional economic indicators to anchor their 2024 strategy, as this statement released from the President in April suggests: 

"The economy has grown more since I took office than at this point in any presidential term in the last 25 years -- including 3% growth over the last year -- while unemployment has stayed below 4% for more than two years. But we have more work to do. Costs are too high for working families, and I am fighting to lower them."

All well and good, right? Biden, like his predecessors, was filling his role as cheerleader in chief; otherwise, why would anybody follow him over the top? The problem lay in the glaring disconnect between the C-suite's narrative, and what those on the ground are enduring behind the scenes. Because, for the most part, their struggles go unreported, and therefore, unnoticed. 

Two-thirds of Americans, for example, say they couldn't find $500 to resolve an emergency, while half of all renters are cost burdened, meaning that 30% or more of their income is going to housing. (If that figure is 50% or more, you're considered severely cost burdened.) If this is really how the world's richest nation is doing, what does mean for poorer or middling ones?

And that's before we get to the relentless squeezing of the masses, whether it's happening at the kitchen table, or on basic monthly bills. My phone, for example, has rocketed from $70 to $115; electric, from $120 to $170; and cable, from $170 to $240 per month, all within the last two years.

It's the same story for smaller bills, like laundry, which has jumped from $1.50 to $2 per load for washing, and $1.25 to $1.75 per load for drying. It all adds up, and not in your favor -- because, in most cases, you're either getting the same, or way less, than you did previously, for your dollar. The last thing anybody wants to hear is how well the stock market's doing. "You mean, more make believe money, for those who've already socked away too much of it? Who's ready to party?"

Oh, wait. What about that unemployment metric, or Biden's claims of creating 400,000 new jobs per month? Well, there's a black joke making the rounds, that goes something like this: "Mr. President, I'm glad you're creating so many new jobs, because I have three of them." Pause for the punchline. "And they still don't pay my bills!"

It's a familiar refrain that leaves millions drained and defeated at the box office. Life loses any semblance of meaning when you're spending most of it trying to outrun the folks at the finish line, waiting with their hands held out. It's the kind of climate that leaves bank accounts as little more than polite fictions, since you don't get to keep most of the green paper that you struggle to accumulate, anyway. Someone else has already figured out a different use for it, so you might as well cough it up, and be done with it.

But it's a lesson that Biden -- much like his bygone German counterpart -- seemed hellbent on learning the hard way. When you insist, "Just keep on eating that spinach, and staring straight ahead, I don't exactly know when the hamburgers and steak dinners are coming yet," people begin tuning out the message, if not the messenger. And, of course, as we've detailed -- seeking out alternatives, no matter how extreme they may sound, to those who see through them.



<"Timely Reminder"/Take I:
The Reckoner>

<iii.>
Of course, it's simplistic to attribute Biden's exit from the Presidential race solely on the economy -- we're giving the "Cliff Notes" version here, to keep things moving -- but it definitely played a major part. So did the ongoing concerns about his age and overall condition, as well as his inability to hold the Democratic coalition, which had begun to fracture over those very issues.

In many ways, BIden proved a more consequential President than anyone could have expected, despite the constraints that he faced. The tragedy is that, like most established politicians, Biden didn't go bolder, when the opening presented itself. Quitting as he did -- right on the eve of the Republican convention -- marked the most punk rock thing that Biden ever did. 

It's a pity that Biden didn't apply those punk rock instincts to other dilemmas that bedeviled him, like the Supreme Court's dismissal of his student debt forgiveness plan. What would have it cost Biden to flip the bird to Extreme Supremes like Alito and Thomas, and say on national TV, "We're doing it, anyway, folks! Send the Supreme Court Police to arrest me, if you don't like it!"

The same goes Biden's belated embrace of a Supreme Court reform package -- including term limits, and an enforceable code of ethics, a notion that raises undeniable anxiety in the likes of  Alito and Thomas, who have gleefully accepted an eye-popping array of goodies from their billionaire bro buddies. 

However, like most of the punk rock thinking that Team Biden finally embraced, it came too little, and too late, to have any hope of saving his bacon. For progressives, Biden's refusal to entertain any regulation of the same court hellbent on kneecapping him marked one of his more puzzling lapses -- the Extreme Supremes being the only public figures with consistently lower approval ratings than his own. Failing to capitalize on such discrepancies seems like political malpractice, though again, Biden won't be the last established politician to commit it. 

Heinrich BrĂ¼ning has also gone down in negative terms as a shy, reserved policy wonk, whose earnest approach and economics doctorate marked him as a poor fit in an age that had little patience for either, as Benjamin Carter Hett notes, in his Weimar autopsy, The Death Of Democracy:

"As chancellor, he was always trying to bring reasoned arguments to people who would never be reasonable, who in fact had no interest at all in facts or logic. 
BrĂ¼ning's problem was that he was too reasonable to grasp such unreason." 





<iv.>
All right, then. With the sun slowly setting on the Biden era, it's worth asking, will the eleventh hour ascent of Vice President Kamala Harris take us to a better place? Perhaps, although so far, the initial evidence is inconclusive. 

On the plus side, Harris has staked out some strong markers through the various economic proposals that she's floated, starting with the need to crack down on price gouging. Everybody can get behind that one, right? Because, quite frankly, we've seen how well the gougers police themselves: 

It -- Doesn't -- F#cking -- Work!

She has thrown out a slew of proposals that are sound, and desperately needed, starting with cost of living: crack down on mergers and acquisitions that entrench monopoly power. Slap a ceiling on how much food producers and grocers can continue to charge.

Housing? Build three million more units. Cut bureaucratic red tape that's stifled the construction of affordable housing, and led to the explosion of McMansions. Ban the use of algorithms that landlords and property management companies to keep prices in line with each other, and frozen at permanent stratospheric levels. Promote new homeownership by making up to $25,000 in down payment assistance available. 

Taxes and medical costs? Cancel up to $7 billion in medical debt for three billion qualifying Americans. Expand the Earned Income Tax Credit, one of the few financial lifelines that working people get, by up to $1,500. Restore the child tax credit that gremlins like Joe Manchin ostentatiously tossed on the junk heap, once they declared "normalcy" back in fashion, by up to $3,600, plus a new credit (up to $6,000) for families with newborns. Speed up a Biden-era effort that would allow for regulation on drug prices, and lower them for everybody.

Once again, all well and good, right? On the worrying side, we've heard all this before -- until the Austerity Gumps, as I like to call them, pop up from their hiding places, wringing their hands, and unreeling their standard issue mantras: "Ooh, that's too expensive." "What's wrong with you? Do you really want the overclass going out in the cold and snow?" And so on, and so forth. Wash, rinse, repeat.

I bring this up, because we're looking at the potential fourth cycle of a Democrat coming in, to sweep up the enormous messes left by Republican predecessors (predators?). What happens, though, once the initial wave of excitement subsides? Every time the Democrats claw back into power, they lose their nerve, and fall back on standard lines -- which makes this particular nugget, marbled in Harris's nomination acceptance speech, sound suspiciously familiar:

"That’s why we will create what I call an opportunity economy. An opportunity economy where everyone has a chance to compete and a chance to succeed.”

As idealistic as this catch phrase sounds, it's really just the latest variation on similar mantras that I recall hearing in the Obama ("We are the people that we have been waiting for") and Clinton eras ("not a hand out, but a hand up"). Creating more opportunity sounds wonderful, until you realize that the United States has worked quite hard at becoming the world's most socially unequal society. All the high-flown vows won't mean anything, if Harris follows her predecessors, and remains content to tinker around the edges of an undeniably broken system.

How will we know if, or when, she finds the nerve? It might help to lift a page or two from the past, such as the approach that President Harry Truman undertook to jolt his Republican rivals -- and reset expectations among a public that largely written off his chances of winning a second term in office.

I leave you with these words from a radio address that Truman gave on October 13, 1948, in St. Paul, MN, during his celebrated "whistle stop" speaking tour of the nation. They feel every bit as relevant now, as they did then, especially when you consider what it takes to fight for truly transformative change, and bring it about:

"Republicans approve of the American farmer, but they are willing to help him go broke. They stand four-square for the American home — but not for housing. They are strong for labor — but they are stronger for restricting labor's rights. They favor minimum wage — the smaller the minimum wage the better.

"They endorse educational opportunity for all — but they won't spend money for teachers or for schools. They think modern medical care and hospitals are fine — for people who can afford them... They think American standard of living is a fine thing — so long as it doesn't spread to all the people. And they admire the Government of the United States so much that they would like to buy it."

Let's hope that Team Harris gets that message, too, and puts out the word, once it does, and follow those intentions with some old school direct action. For a handy reminder, look no further than the slogan on any DOA record sleeve:

"Talk - Action = 0."

I rest my case, Your Honor. Even though the defense, mind you, never rests. Because there is always so much work to do.--The Reckoner


Links To Go (Food For Thought --
Figuratively, And Literally)
Econstor: 
BrĂ¼ning's Austerity Policies...:
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/261405/1/1811659055.pdf

Naked Capitalism: The Rebellion Will Not Go Away:
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2016/03/gaius-publius-the-rebellion-will-not-go-away.html

[Written on the eve of the 2016 election, with many comments that seem eerily prescient of our current malaise]

[Well written- and reasoned summary of our current malaise...]


Peterson Institute For International Economics: